Liverpool faced a tough challenge against Southampton on 24 November in the Premier League, also at St Mary's. They had to come from behind but ultimately secured a victory (3:2). Will Arne Slot expend his main resources before the more crucial Premier League clash with Tottenham Hotspur?
Matches where Southampton fight until the end are interspersed with disastrous performances, conceding five goals, as seen against Chelsea (1:5) and Tottenham Hotspur (0:5). The game against Tottenham Hotspur was just last weekend, again at home, where the London side converted 28% of their shots, and Alex McCarthy faced more goals than expected (2.44 xGA). Southampton have a significantly more important match against Fulham next weekend, where they stand a real chance of gaining at least a point, unlike in this fixture.
Liverpool will undoubtedly mix in some young players, but within reason. After all, reaching the quarter-finals is already quite prestigious, and the path to victory is now short. If Liverpool win the League Cup, it will be Arne Slot's first title with the club—something anyone would desire. Liverpool failed to beat Fulham (2:2) in their last league match primarily due to Andrew Robertson's red card in the 17th minute. Should no such mishaps occur, the visitors will comfortably beat Southampton.
Liverpool are expected to win and score. It's hard to predict the exact number of goals, but they should reach a combined total of three goals, as seen not only in the 13th round but also in the four successive matches preceding that. Incidentally, Southampton only managed one draw (4:4) in those games.